Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.601169 0.672327 0.749467 0.839450 0.941719 1.054552 1.188759
2025-02-16 0.489956 0.587340 0.701414 0.845550 1.023718 1.237895 1.516594
2025-02-23 0.432002 0.542266 0.678287 0.859721 1.097336 1.400612 1.821276
2025-03-02 0.377138 0.490754 0.636732 0.840015 1.118894 1.492593 2.038909
2025-03-09 0.347693 0.467031 0.625986 0.856024 1.185098 1.646038 2.353297
2025-03-16 0.315953 0.436056 0.601048 0.847896 1.214126 1.747476 2.601739
2025-03-23 0.294237 0.416347 0.588950 0.855299 1.264198 1.881991 2.912840
2025-03-30 0.270404 0.391114 0.566091 0.843627 1.282917 1.968970 3.157074
2025-04-06 0.251544 0.371368 0.549207 0.838680 1.310324 2.070544 3.435000
2025-04-13 0.227620 0.341957 0.515097 0.803246 1.284595 2.081999 3.558580
2025-04-20 0.216671 0.331597 0.509401 0.812435 1.332441 2.219834 3.920002
2025-04-27 0.206851 0.322170 0.504247 0.821681 1.380616 2.362131 4.305907
2025-05-04 0.196485 0.311318 0.496281 0.826031 1.421663 2.497865 4.701119
2025-05-11 0.186745 0.300797 0.488063 0.829209 1.460903 2.634513 5.117033
2025-05-18 0.179843 0.294450 0.486253 0.843286 1.521072 2.816253 5.648554
2025-05-25 0.167906 0.278666 0.467005 0.823986 1.516025 2.870292 5.916845
2025-06-01 0.162600 0.273977 0.466761 0.839654 1.579809 3.067805 6.524979
2025-06-08 0.154105 0.263079 0.454624 0.831699 1.595728 3.168442 6.927989
2025-06-15 0.148487 0.256935 0.450617 0.838945 1.642880 3.339292 7.518364
2025-06-22 0.140704 0.246356 0.437689 0.827522 1.650018 3.424128 7.913303
2025-06-29 0.134365 0.238044 0.428440 0.822681 1.670531 3.540467 8.403091
2025-07-06 0.124707 0.222976 0.405417 0.788001 1.623264 3.498127 8.480522
2025-07-13 0.121044 0.219034 0.403563 0.796995 1.673082 3.685703 9.190238